Minus 80 billion rubles

Yesterday became known preliminary government's plan to indexation in 2012: all except the gas, can grow only on the forecasted level of inflation (currently a maximum of 6%). Calculate such a scenario requested last week First Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov. And prices may rise not from January 1, and hence, the average index might be even lower than inflation, "Interfax" referring to its sources. For example, discusses six% rise in prices for goods transport by Railways on 1 July, ie at an average annual rate increase of 3%. With this indexing Railways may receive 80 billion rubles. RAS net loss in 2012, said deputy head of corporate finance Railways Alexander Romanov. Initially the company offered 11.7% of the base index for the next year, reminded the Romanov "Vedomosti": even that would be of Railways only 3.1 billion rubles. profits. The baseline scenario is below the Ministry of Economic Development – 7.4%. And to get the same 3.1 billion rubles. profit, Railways, it is estimated the company will need 40 billion rubles. from the budget to "overhaul the infrastructure", as a monopoly in the spring reported to the government, added Romanov. Otherwise, the Railways loss of 29 billion rubles. (See table). Each percentage point "nedoindeksatsii" tariff in 2012 – about 11 billion rubles. loss for the company, said Romanov. That is at 6% indexation of the second half of 2012 without state subsidies Railways can get those same 80 billion rubles. loss, he concluded. At the same time reserves to reduce investment in Railways is almost gone, said yesterday as head of department of the investment activity of the carrier Dmitry Mukhin, quoted by the "Interfax": even at the current level of indexation Railways reduced the cost of transportation security in the amount of 40-50 billion rubles. per year. Although the official Ministry of Economic sure Railways, as well as other state monopoly, it can work on reducing costs. Approved investment program Railways in 2011 – 349 billion rubles., At 2012 – 358 billion and still the monopoly of planned investment growth: a preliminary adjustment – 393 300 000 000 rub. for this year and 382.5 billion for the next – has been sent for approval to the ministry, told "Vedomosti" a source close to the Railways (the company does not comment on the figures). Calculations of losses with the new indexation Railways have not yet sent to the government because they do not receive formal notification of new tariff plan and the decisions taken at a meeting with Shuvalov said Romanov. Company did not receive and respond to previous proposals – to allocate 40 billion rubles. from the budget at 7.4% strength index, he adds. A final decision on tariffs no underscores the Secretariat W uvalova, a work first deputy prime minister to work out different options and make a script in government departments work in progress. Railways each year arguing with the officials of the tariffs (with varying degrees of success). Do they listen this time, experts predict not taken. But the problem of under-funding of infrastructure does exist, says general director of the Institute of Natural Monopolies Yuri Sahakyan, and if the system can not carry goods, these goods will simply not be done and the government should understand this. In preparation of this article participated Anna Peretolchina.