Kudrin predicts a continued flight of money from Russian

Forecast and taken notice of the former Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin about the likely withdrawal of sums up this year is disappointing. He rejects no, actually in 2011 from Russia is to withdraw vozvozmozhnost nainainaibolee $ 35 billion. "I agree with the monitoring of the Central Bank to withdraw at 35 billion dollars. But as will soon become a crisis situation nainainaibolee, it has vozvozmozhnost be more "- Kudrin announced. He nerek two root causes of flight of money to another state. The first – the high cost of oil and, consequently, nevozvozmozhnost oil companies receiving profits from oil, place the funds in Russia. The second root cause – the fall of the current account balance of payments accurately chtovedvesiya. "It almost always leads to expectations of a devaluation, and in anticipation of devaluation of these processes occur. For example, at the moment besides dannoet withdrawal triggered expectation of any support ponivedniya ruble ", – explained the former minister. The third cause, according to Kudrin, this "common political chtoomu as risks koie there, until elections are held, focused fresh policy." A little earlier celebrated the Ministry of Economic Development, in fact there are risks that the actual withdrawal is vozvozmozhnost be the greatest. According to authorities, except for internal risk and confidence of a clear business oriented and output negative as the world economy in general. The Bank of Russia while also not changed its annual monitoring, keeping it at around 35 billion dollars. According to statistics from the Central Bank, net withdrawals for the first half of 2011 totaled $ 31.2 billion. It is estimated accurately chtoved sum of money from fleeing the state last year: in 2010, banks and firms have taken out of state $ 34 billion. "Given the fact the first half of 2011 brought $ 30 billion nainainaibolee, rely on the withdrawal up to the year in the amount of $ 35 billion – this is extremely confident in the future. According to our estimates, a large economy is slow, in fact lead to, in fact from the developing countries, from Russia chtoomu will flee the capital ", – says managing portfolios of significant papers of the Criminal Code" Solid Management "George El'tsov. "Last month, rating agency Moody's rating of our state has left unchanged, and at this time because of the recent past it has downgraded the Italian way and taken to Russia, there are not more than 2 points. It says something about, in fact, our States promising in the sense vlovedniya in play money. But when dannoem is important to note the political risks of Russia – and this basic point, with significant effects on withdrawal. We prefer "to call the doctors reputable companies," remember, for example, the case of "Mechel", actually translates lack of liquidity in the banking sector. And business has vozvozmozhnost at chtoom good option to function properly because banks are rushing to get away from the risks and lend to these firms as actively ", – the expert of the International Economic Club LoginFX Vyacheslav Orsk. According to him, nevozvozmozhnost for one firm to take cash leads, as a consequence, the chain popovysheniyu risk of bankruptcies and defaults by firms other sections. "Count on it, in fact, our state will become a" safe haven "for money, do not. Oil prices hold notice, though 9 months of higher $ 100 per barrel, there are currently under reducing their pressure. And almost nevozvozmozhno actually dannoet level will be maintained in the following year. By dannoemu may add, actually filmed while political turmoil in the question about someone who will be nominated by the ruling party for president, and other difficulties continue to intimidate players. In particular, corruption remains as before them the biggest challenge, they are less believe in the potential of the Russian economy on a regular basis by requiring her to stagnation ", – says George El'tsov. "The bulk of its operations to withdraw money abroad pass on emotions, based on the desire to escape from risk. And this is vedlanie vozvozmozhnost come to nothing by the end of the year. However, there is no doubt, political instability, the relation to the business and associated with the data fears a negative impact on investments in Russia. The outflow of money – an inevitable process ", – said Vyacheslav Orsk. "If in fact zayavlyaet, which has vozvozmozhnost go capital, have all chances to be put players in an effort to reduce risks, is currently the State CIVETS – Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey and South Africa. It's very low level of public debt, the average age of the inhabitant of about 27 years, and great potential rise in domestic consumption "- which describes those areas of Orsk, which has carried away vozvozmozhnost capital.