Turkey wages conflict in Nagorno Karabakh. What ought to Russia do?

The disaster in Nagorno-Karabakh poses an enormous problem for Russian diplomacy. A breakthrough is required, in any other case it will likely be Turkey, not Russia, that may deliver its erstwhile empire again to life. Turkey conducts army operation in Nagorno-Karabakh
On Sunday, September 27, the lively part of hostilities in Nagorno-Karabakh resumed. Within the south of the unrecognized republic, the military of Azerbaijan launched an offensive utilizing heavy tools and artillery. Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev mentioned at a gathering of the Safety Council that Azerbaijan should resolve the battle as soon as and for all to revive historic justice. The President of Azerbaijan added that he would by no means permit a second so-called Armenian state on Azerbaijani land.On account of the hostilities, the events have suffered losses each in army and manpower. In accordance with the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic, 31 folks had been killed on the road of contact from the Armenian aspect in the course of the battles. Azerbaijan says that Armenia misplaced 550 folks.Armenia has to date refused help from the Collective Safety Treaty Group (CSTO), since Armenia doesn’t recognise Nagorno-Karabakh as a sovereign state – it signifies that the conflict shouldn’t be happening on the territory of Armenia. Nevertheless, the present aggravation is not only a matter of the positional advance of Azerbaijan to occupy a number of dominant heights. The present disaster comes as a part of the plan to deliver Karabakh again beneath the management of Azerbaijan beneath the management of such a powerful regional participant as Turkey.In accordance with political scientist Semyon Baghdasarov, the offensive is being performed in coordination with Turkey as a “properly deliberate operation.””Each Turkish particular forces and militants of the Syrian so-called opposition are combating on the aspect of Azerbaijan – they’re, in reality, representatives of terrorist organizations from everywhere in the world and from the East – four,000 folks. It is a pre-planned army operation,” Semyon Bagdasarov instructed Pravda.Ru.In accordance with him, Turkey’s President Recep Erdogan is making ready for the celebration of the 100th anniversary of the Lausanne Settlement in 2023 and for the presidential election. Erdogan is lively on all fronts directly: Cyprus, Greece, Libya, Iraq and South Caucasus. Russia’s three most vital targets within the battle
On this regard, Moscow faces the primary goal to indicate CSTO allies and observers that this group truly exists and has energy to defend others. This is essential, as a result of safety is the one issue that immediately retains Armenia and the Central Asian states in Russia’s sphere of affect and protects them from the damaging affect of the West.Goal No. 2 is to as soon as once more cease Turkey in its revanchist concepts of neo-Ottomanism and Pan-Turkism.Turkey, in distinction to Russia, which referred to as on the combatants to indicate restraint in reference to the disaster in Karabakh, clearly expressed its assist for Azerbajian. Azerbaijan and Turkey are “one nation in two states,” as Erdogan as soon as famous. Erdogan calls himself Putin’s “good friend,” however in reality he undermines “fraternal” relations with Russia.Ankara brazenly pushes Gazprom out of the Turkish gasoline market at a troublesome time for the Russian economic system. Russia at the moment ranks fifth on the listing of gasoline suppliers to Turkey, whereas Azerbaijan ranks first with a 23.5 % of the share of the Turkish market. Pure gasoline provides through the Turkish Stream pipeline system truly stopped, whereas the Blue Stream by no means got here out of repairs.Turkey has been lowering its purchases of Russian oil too currently in an effort to exchange Russian oil with that from Azerbaijan. Turkey’s largest refinery STAR, which belongs to SOCAR of Azerbaijan,  has not purchased a barrel of Urals oil from Russia for 2 months already, though previously it was one of many nation’s largest consumers of Russian oil.Russia’s third goal is to forestall the triumph of 1 faith over one other, which on this case is fraught with the strengthening of Islamic extremism within the area, which is critically harmful for Russia. Erdogan as soon as threatened to “blow up Russia” from the within in its Islamic areas.All this doesn’t come opposite to the truth that Azerbaijan has the appropriate to return its territories, however not throughout the framework of the previous Soviet autonomy, whose folks made their alternative in a referendum in 1991 – however throughout the framework of Azerbaijani areas that Armenia seized across the former Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Area. One ha to return these territories, albeit with the popularity of the independence of Nagorno-Karabakh. That might be truthful.