ASTANA. August 22. KAZINFORM – Even in the bad situation there is a place of positive. For example, this: saying that the current crisis is similar to the Great Depression and still shows itself – that's predictions come true and, transmits Utro.ru. Stock markets worldwide are falling, as in the memorable August of 2008. Rating agency S & P, encroached on the sacred – the U.S. credit rating – a good substitute for bank Lehman Brothers as a pioneer of the world collapse. Developed country governments are scurrying around, the currency market reeling and the price of gold only take new ground. So, welcome to the new times. Times of low growth, high inflation, unemployment and contraction of the financial markets. In the last century it was called the Great Depression, which lasted nearly two decades. In this – called the crisis a large Kondratieff cycle and wait for its completion 18 years later. But do not grieve – life in the Depression, as experience shows, it is possible. And even bad, if you arrange it properly. First, some theory. Kondratiev called crisis, which comes at a time of change in economic structure. So, with the 20-ies up to 1945 model of industrial economy has changed the financial. It took two world wars, industrialization and the emergence of multinationals to growth, based on the actual product release, gave way to growth based on market capitalization. With the advent of complex financial instruments economy has become less "material", an opportunity to fund science seriously, and here and to scientific and technological progress with technology it came. However, more and more "birthmarks" of the new economy, as expected, exerted its toxic effects. Mortgage bonds, which turned blank pieces of paper are simply the last straw: even before the collapse was "dotcom" and lending to the world economy. What will replace the current economic model to predict right now is just as difficult as in the 1930s – the Internet. But for the layman it is not necessary. Forecasts futurologists leave – we would live the next 20 years, is quieter. Is this possible? I think so. First of all, we must understand that the time has come when the paper – it's just paper. Even if it says "dollar", "EUR", "RUR" or "action". United States practically does not conceal that headed for inflation – have a long easiest way to depreciate, rather than forcing people to tighten belts. Europe is clearly moving in the same way. Depression – a time of real things. Food, water, shelter, eternal values - that's what matters. What does this mean in real life? What you need to buy the real thing, and give – as pa "Virtual". For example, if you can buy a house in a mortgage – you need to take. Money worthless, and housing – no. But it is not necessary to take an apartment with a view to investing – an increase in property prices and when will be the case, then episodic and point. For example, in the new territories of Moscow. Or because of pre-election spending. But it makes sense to buy an apartment for rent. Yield is much lower – 5-7% per annum, but the high yield it is time to forget. But reliable, but is now the main thing. And not necessarily a housing must be flat in Moscow is even more favorable (and lower cost) housing, for example, in the resort city – for tourists in the development of regional centers – for students or employees for a major new venture. And you can do and build a country house and rent it for the summer: during the depression people rarely travel. Yes, and regional conflicts, which seem to be replaced at this time World War II, are unlikely to contribute to the development of outbound tourism. And as the rest still need people to go and give to the native sea shores. Large enterprises in such times it becomes more and Russia there is an additional benefit. The fact that the competition of goods at the price of working in a growing market. And when the demand is limited (because those who can not afford to buy this thing, is not able to take credit), the competition is not on price but on quality. And here at the Russian goods becomes possible to press the Chinese in some ways. It's also a chance – for engineers, technologists, managers and those who in time will replace the diploma certificate manager for a skilled worker. On quality will need to choose now everything, including investments. It is hardly necessary to save money – they will eat inflation. But it is possible, for example, to buy shares of companies that pay generous dividends. Even better – invest in any business. Entrepreneurship – the best kind of accumulation in such times. No wonder most of the known industrial corporations were born in the 30-40s of last century. And, of course, education – and their children – will be very helpful. In general, if we draw an analogy with the past century, we can expect that life will, though more difficult, but stable. Becomes harder to work with the money – but back family traditions, children will again be the best investment in the future, and races for the lack of success will relieve stress from the eternal. And if intelligently manage the available resources, in 20 years this will be and sigh with nostalgia.
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